Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.1% | 53.9% | +0.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers +3 (62-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Harris * | 32 | 2-14 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Z. Phelps * | 26 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | - |
| S. Williamson * | 21 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| K. Ambrose-Hylton * | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| B.J. Edwards * | 15 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| J. Smith | 23 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| T. Smith | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| J. Hudson | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| R. Wright | 17 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| E. Lanier | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Mo Njie | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Walton * | 36 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| J. Quinerly * | 34 | 3-12 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| D. Jones * | 32 | 6-16 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 12 | - |
| N. Jourdain * | 30 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | - |
| M. Dandridge * | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| N. Tomlin | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Young | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Hardaway | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Hardaway | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter