Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Tigers | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.4% | 82.6% | +8.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +8 (81-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Griggs | 40 | 8-19 | 4-9 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 9 | - |
| H. Riddick | 28 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 8 | - |
| K. Carter | 27 | 6-16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Alasia Smith | 23 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| K. Cain | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Green | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Raven Sims | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Destyne Jackson | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Shelbee Brown | 12 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Layken Cox | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
| J. Sallman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Bradley | 37 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Amirah Abdur-Rahim | 35 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 15 | - |
| M. Chandler | 34 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Chantae Embry | 31 | 9-12 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 21 | - |
| TK Pitts | 26 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| T. Young | 24 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| J. Perry | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Aaliyah Henderson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Donavia Hall | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter