Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 70.1% | 29.9% | -4.7 | ✗ (7.7 off) |
| Efficiency | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons +3 (75-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Kinziger * | 37 | 3-12 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Kendall Lewis * | 37 | 8-12 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 17 | +3.3 |
| Malachi Poindexter * | 36 | 6-9 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 17 | -0.6 |
| Dalton Banks * | 30 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | -1.2 |
| Myles Foster * | 26 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 10 | -6.1 |
| Chase Walker | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2.2 |
| Luke Kasubke | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -9.6 |
| Ty Pence | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.4 |
| Brandon Lieb | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.7 |
| Jordan Davis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.2 |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Schwieger * | 39 | 12-17 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 16 | +1.1 |
| Isaiah Stafford * | 34 | 8-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 18 | +7.6 |
| Jerome Palm * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -0.5 |
| Darius DeAveiro * | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -9.0 |
| Sherman Weatherspoon * | 15 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | -3.0 |
| Jahari Williamson | 26 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +7.2 |
| Connor Barrett | 25 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | +6.7 |
| Kaspar Sepp | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | +6.1 |
* = starter