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2024-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Northern Iowa Panthers Southern Illinois Salukis Spread Result
Elo 52.6% 47.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 55.9% 44.1% - โœ“
Margin 54.8% 45.2% -1.1 โœ“ (10.9 off)
Pythagorean 47.9% 52.1% - โœ—
Efficiency 32.5% 67.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 53.7% 46.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 53.6% 46.4% - โœ“

Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis -12 (70-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nate Heise * 33 3-9 0-1 1-2 6 3 2 1 1 7 9 +7.9
Trey Campbell * 30 3-8 1-4 4-4 6 3 4 0 0 11 16 +30.2
Jacob Hutson * 29 5-10 3-5 2-4 5 1 0 3 2 15 12 +16.1
Bowen Born * 28 5-11 2-4 7-8 3 2 1 0 2 19 12 +11.1
Tytan Anderson * 27 3-5 1-1 8-11 3 2 0 0 0 15 15 +11.6
Landon Wolf 18 1-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 4 6 -3.2
Michael Duax 11 2-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 5 4 +10.7
RJ Taylor 11 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 4 4 +6.9
Cole Henry 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 1 +3.7
Kyle Pock 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.2

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Xavier Johnson * 40 7-20 0-4 10-12 7 6 1 0 3 24 15 -18.0
Troy D'Amico * 36 5-9 3-7 4-4 3 6 1 0 2 17 16 -17.9
AJ Ferguson * 34 3-5 2-4 0-0 9 0 0 0 1 8 11 -5.0
Trent Brown * 24 0-6 0-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -6 -19.3
Clarence Rupert * 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -19.6
Kennard Davis Jr. 24 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 2 6 -2.2
Jarrett Hensley 19 3-9 2-4 2-2 2 0 1 3 1 10 6 -0.1
Scottie Ebube 14 4-6 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 1 0 9 9 -6.5
Trey Miller 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0

* = starter