Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.1% | 73.9% | +5.7 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Efficiency | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +1 (75-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alston Mason * | 38 | 8-16 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 10 | -2.9 |
| Donovan Clay * | 37 | 8-12 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 16 | -4.1 |
| N.J. Benson * | 36 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 22 | +7.2 |
| Matthew Lee * | 12 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -9.4 |
| Chance Moore * | 11 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.7 |
| Damien Mayo Jr. | 33 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +4.9 |
| Raphe Ayres | 25 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2.2 |
| Cesare Edwards | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5.2 |
| Tyler Bey | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.9 |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Kinziger * | 36 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 12 | +2.2 |
| Kendall Lewis * | 35 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 17 | +0.0 |
| Myles Foster * | 34 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15 | -2.9 |
| Malachi Poindexter * | 32 | 8-15 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 8 | +4.1 |
| Dalton Banks * | 30 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +6.0 |
| Luke Kasubke | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -0.5 |
| Chase Walker | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +6.3 |
| Jordan Davis | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.8 |
* = starter