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2024-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Indiana State Sycamores Evansville Purple Aces Spread Result
Elo 60.8% 39.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 70.9% 29.1% - โœ“
Margin 80.4% 19.6% -7.8 โœ“ (10.2 off)
Pythagorean 84.9% 15.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 93.6% 6.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 94.7% 5.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 94.8% 5.2% - โœ“

Actual: Evansville Purple Aces -18 (67-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana State Sycamores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ryan Conwell * 37 5-9 5-8 0-0 7 3 0 0 4 15 12 +6.0
Julian Larry * 36 3-5 2-3 0-0 6 8 3 0 0 8 20 +6.7
Robbie Avila * 35 14-24 1-5 6-8 8 5 1 0 1 35 24 +6.0
Isaiah Swope * 34 4-11 3-9 0-0 5 4 1 0 3 11 7 +6.2
Jayson Kent * 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 +4.4
X. Bledson 28 4-7 2-4 2-2 3 5 0 0 1 12 12 +2.1
J. Wolfe 7 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -0.3
Jaden Daughtry 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.1
Aaron Gray 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -0.0
Derek Vorst 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -0.0
Eli Shetlar 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -0.0
Masen Miller 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -0.0

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Antonio Thomas * 29 3-6 0-0 1-1 2 1 3 0 0 7 7 -3.6
Gage Bobe * 28 3-5 3-5 1-1 0 0 1 0 1 10 5 -3.4
Yacine Toumi * 27 3-10 0-0 3-4 8 1 0 0 3 9 5 -6.4
Kenny Strawbridge * 23 4-9 0-2 6-6 5 2 1 0 1 14 12 -6.9
Ben Humrichous * 20 3-9 1-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 7 -2 +0.1
Tanner Cuff 21 3-10 0-3 4-4 2 2 2 0 0 10 6 +0.9
Joshua Hughes 20 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 3 0 0 6 -5.9
Cameron Haffner 18 2-6 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 5 4 -2.2
Chuck Bailey III 6 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -2.4
Sekou Kalle 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.1
Tyler Myers 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -0.0
Weston Aigner 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0
Dakota Candler 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -0.0
Michael Day 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0

* = starter