Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Iowa Panthers | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.0% | 52.0% | +0.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +8 (81-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Heise * | 34 | 9-13 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 17 | -5.5 |
| Tytan Anderson * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 15 | -10.2 |
| Bowen Born * | 28 | 4-16 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | -11.4 |
| Jacob Hutson * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | -10.3 |
| Trey Campbell * | 19 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | -15.6 |
| Michael Duax | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +3.6 |
| Kyle Pock | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +5.8 |
| Cole Henry | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +2.8 |
| RJ Taylor | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +4.0 |
| Landon Wolf | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.3 |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Kinziger * | 37 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 14 | +12.7 |
| Myles Foster * | 35 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 23 | +9.6 |
| Kendall Lewis * | 34 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 16 | +7.5 |
| Malachi Poindexter * | 33 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +4.6 |
| Dalton Banks * | 28 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3-6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | +7.5 |
| Jordan Davis | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +0.3 |
| Luke Kasubke | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.3 |
| Chase Walker | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +0.2 |
* = starter