Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Southern Illinois Salukis | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.8% | 42.2% | -1.7 | ✗ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.8% | 14.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.9% | 14.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis +5 (74-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Swope * | 40 | 2-10 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -7.9 |
| Robbie Avila * | 37 | 12-18 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 19 | -7.9 |
| Ryan Conwell * | 36 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 8-8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | -11.7 |
| Julian Larry * | 33 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +0.3 |
| X. Bledson * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -8.4 |
| J. Wolfe | 26 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | +0.4 |
| Aaron Gray | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -1.2 |
| Derek Vorst | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.1 |
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Johnson * | 40 | 7-18 | 1-8 | 6-6 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 17 | +7.6 |
| Troy D'Amico * | 40 | 5-13 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 9 | +7.9 |
| AJ Ferguson * | 31 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | +3.4 |
| Clarence Rupert * | 20 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -1.7 |
| Trent Brown * | 19 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -1 | -2.5 |
| Kennard Davis Jr. | 26 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | +11.9 |
| Scottie Ebube | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +5.1 |
| Jarrett Hensley | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +7.9 |
* = starter