Model Predictions
| Model | Valparaiso Beacons | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.5% | 78.5% | +7.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Efficiency | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +8 (82-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Stafford * | 37 | 9-25 | 3-10 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 6 | -9.5 |
| Jaxon Edwards * | 34 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 15 | -10.5 |
| Darius DeAveiro * | 34 | 3-14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -2.0 |
| Cooper Schwieger * | 31 | 8-15 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 12 | +6.7 |
| Jerome Palm * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | +5.7 |
| Ola Ajiboye | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -8.3 |
| Kaspar Sepp | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -7.4 |
| Jahari Williamson | 11 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 | -0.9 |
| Sherman Weatherspoon | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +6.7 |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Lee * | 40 | 8-18 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 7 | +2.9 |
| Donovan Clay * | 34 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | +5.2 |
| Chance Moore * | 29 | 10-14 | 3-5 | 2-8 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 19 | +17.5 |
| N.J. Benson * | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 24 | +11.2 |
| Raphe Ayres * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -18.6 |
| Cesare Edwards | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | +2.9 |
| Damien Mayo Jr. | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +1.8 |
| Tyler Bey | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +1.4 |
| Dawson Carper | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -10.3 |
* = starter