Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Southern Illinois Salukis | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.5% | 55.5% | +1.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis +3 (69-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton Banks * | 37 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Johnny Kinziger * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Malachi Poindexter * | 34 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Kendall Lewis * | 33 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Myles Foster * | 30 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Luke Kasubke | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ty Pence | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chase Walker | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Johnson * | 39 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Trent Brown * | 36 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| AJ Ferguson * | 30 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Troy D'Amico * | 25 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Clarence Rupert * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Kennard Davis Jr. | 17 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Scottie Ebube | 17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jarrett Hensley | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
* = starter