Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.6% | 42.4% | -1.7 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Efficiency | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons -11 (70-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alston Mason * | 40 | 9-17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Donovan Clay * | 33 | 7-14 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Damien Mayo Jr. * | 32 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| N.J. Benson * | 23 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Nick Kramer * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cesare Edwards | 24 | 5-12 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Matthew Lee | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Chance Moore | 17 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius DeAveiro * | 37 | 6-13 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Jahari Williamson * | 35 | 4-14 | 2-5 | 9-10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Cooper Schwieger * | 33 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Sherman Weatherspoon * | 26 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Kaspar Sepp * | 17 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Jaxon Edwards | 28 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Ola Ajiboye | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Anthony Sciarroni | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Connor Barrett | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jerome Palm | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter