Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 70.6% | 29.4% | -4.8 | ✗ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +4 (58-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton Banks * | 36 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Darius Burford * | 31 | 7-16 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 3 | - |
| Myles Foster * | 30 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Kendall Lewis * | 26 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - |
| Luke Kasubke * | 20 | 0-6 | 0-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Johnny Kinziger | 26 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Malachi Poindexter | 15 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chase Walker | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Ty Pence | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Thomas * | 33 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Yacine Toumi * | 29 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Kenny Strawbridge * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Joshua Hughes * | 22 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Gage Bobe * | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Tanner Cuff | 31 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Cameron Haffner | 20 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Chuck Bailey III | 18 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | - |
| Sekou Kalle | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter