Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.3% | 48.7% | -0.3 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Efficiency | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears -9 (60-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Burford * | 36 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Myles Foster * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Jordan Davis * | 25 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Dalton Banks * | 23 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Kendall Lewis * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Johnny Kinziger | 27 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Luke Kasubke | 20 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Chase Walker | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Malachi Poindexter | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ty Pence | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alston Mason * | 37 | 5-21 | 3-14 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | -1 | - |
| Donovan Clay * | 35 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 11-13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Damien Mayo Jr. * | 33 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Cesare Edwards * | 27 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| N.J. Benson * | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Raphe Ayres | 18 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Nick Kramer | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Matthew Lee | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Dawson Carper | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter