Model Predictions
| Model | Drake Bulldogs | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.4% | 40.6% | -2.1 | ✓ (18.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 88.9% | 11.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.3% | 5.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.3% | 5.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -21 (56-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker DeVries * | 32 | 11-22 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 11 | - |
| Kevin Overton * | 28 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Darnell Brodie * | 27 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 25 | - |
| Conor Enright * | 26 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Atin Wright * | 25 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Colby Garland | 21 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Kyron Gibson | 21 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Nate Ferguson | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Eric Northweather | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Andrew Alia | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Brashon Hall | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Carlos Rosario | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton Banks * | 31 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Myles Foster * | 27 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Jordan Davis * | 27 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Darius Burford * | 24 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Luke Kasubke * | 22 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Johnny Kinziger | 19 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Malachi Poindexter | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Kendall Lewis | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chase Walker | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ty Pence | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter