Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.7% | 44.3% | -1.3 | ✓ (22.7 off) |
| Efficiency | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears -24 (53-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JaCobi Wood * | 36 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Nick Ellington * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Quincy Anderson * | 29 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Rob Perry * | 24 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Justin Morgan * | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Brian Moore Jr. | 25 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Alden Applewhite | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Sam Murray II | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Lawrent Rice | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Fletcher Boatright | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Patrick Chew | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chance Moore * | 33 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Donovan Clay * | 29 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Alston Mason * | 27 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 4-9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Matthew Lee * | 22 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Cesare Edwards * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tyler Bey | 21 | 2-11 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Raphe Ayres | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nick Kramer | 14 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Dawson Carper | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| N.J. Benson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter