Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.3% | 79.7% | +7.5 | ✓ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs +17 (88-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton Banks * | 33 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Darius Burford * | 28 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Malachi Poindexter * | 27 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Kendall Lewis * | 22 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Myles Foster * | 16 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Johnny Kinziger | 24 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Davis | 14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Lieb | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Luke Kasubke | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Ty Pence | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Schmitt | 4 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker DeVries * | 30 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Atin Wright * | 29 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Conor Enright * | 25 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Kevin Overton * | 22 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Darnell Brodie * | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Colby Garland | 24 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Nate Ferguson | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Carlos Rosario | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Eric Northweather | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Andrew Alia | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Kyron Gibson | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Brashon Hall | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter