Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.2% | 57.8% | +1.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Efficiency | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +4 (76-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JaCobi Wood * | 37 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Rob Perry * | 35 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Nick Ellington * | 28 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Shawn Walker Jr. * | 26 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Brian Moore Jr. * | 25 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Quincy Anderson | 27 | 8-13 | 6-9 | 5-7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 17 | - |
| Sam Murray II | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Justin Morgan | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Lewis * | 31 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Malachi Poindexter * | 31 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Darius Burford * | 31 | 6-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Dalton Banks * | 31 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Myles Foster * | 25 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Brandon Lieb | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Luke Kasubke | 15 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Johnny Kinziger | 13 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Ty Pence | 8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
* = starter