Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Illinois Salukis | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.4% | 78.6% | +7.2 | ✓ (21.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores +29 (77-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Johnson * | 35 | 5-17 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 3 | - |
| Troy D'Amico * | 33 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -5 | - |
| Clarence Rupert * | 26 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Trent Brown * | 26 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kennard Davis Jr. * | 20 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Jovan Stulic | 29 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Trey Miller | 13 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| R.J. McGee | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Scottie Ebube | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Swope * | 37 | 8-18 | 4-12 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Jayson Kent * | 32 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Julian Larry * | 32 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| X. Bledson * | 28 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Robbie Avila * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| J. Wolfe | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Masen Miller | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Derek Vorst | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Kiudulas | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Eli Shetlar | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jaden Schertz | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jaden Daughtry | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter