Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio State Buckeyes | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.6% | 58.4% | +1.9 | ✗ (16.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -15 (71-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Taylor | 36 | 8-13 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 14 | - |
| R. Mikulasikova | 34 | 9-14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| J. Sheldon | 25 | 8-13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| T. Thierry | 20 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| R. Harris | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| C. McMahon | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| M. Greene | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| E. Shumate | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| E. Walker | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Collins | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| T. Parks | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Tate | 32 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| D. Hagemann | 29 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| M. Joiner | 29 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| T. Ozment | 28 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Ayrault | 24 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| T. Hallock | 24 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 8 | - |
| A. Kimball | 23 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| L. Ross | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Robinson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter