Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.4% | 98.6% | +23.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.1% | 97.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.9% | 98.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +27 (97-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Terry | 31 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 23 | - |
| A. Ellis | 28 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 5 | - |
| McKenna Layden | 25 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| C. Harper | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | - |
| M. Stevenson | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Madison Layden-Zay | 17 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Rashunda Jones | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Sophie Swanson | 16 | 4-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | - |
| Jayla Smith | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| E. Monson | 5 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Alaina Harper | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Reynolds | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbey Kimball | 32 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Theryn Hallock | 28 | 10-12 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 22 | - |
| DeeDee Hagemann | 28 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Julia Ayrault | 27 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 25 | - |
| M. Joiner | 26 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Jocelyn Tate | 24 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| T. Ozment | 21 | 7-8 | 1-1 | 8-9 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 24 | - |
| L. Ross | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Bree Robinson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter