Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.6% | 5.4% | -15.8 | ✓ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.2% | 3.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.3% | 3.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers -25 (71-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Clark | 35 | 8-18 | 6-14 | 4-4 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 25 | - |
| K. Martin | 33 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| G. Marshall | 26 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | - |
| S. Affolter | 24 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| H. Stuelke | 24 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| M. Davis | 22 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| K. Feuerbach | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| S. Goodman | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| A. O'Grady | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| T. McCabe | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Gyamfi | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ellis | 36 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| M. Stevenson | 32 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| M. Layden-Zay | 32 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| C. Harper | 31 | 4-10 | 2-8 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| J. Terry | 28 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| J. Smith | 17 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| R. Jones | 11 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | - |
| M. Reynolds | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| S. Swanson | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Layden | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter