Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Iowa Hawkeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.2% | 50.8% | +0.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes +3 (76-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Joiner | 36 | 3-13 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | - |
| D. Hagemann | 35 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| T. Ozment | 29 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| J. Tate | 27 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| T. Hallock | 26 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Ayrault | 25 | 7-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| A. Kimball | 22 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Clark | 37 | 14-34 | 8-20 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 40 | 10 | - |
| G. Marshall | 36 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| K. Martin | 32 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| H. Stuelke | 31 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - |
| M. Davis | 30 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | - |
| S. Affolter | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| S. Goodman | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Feuerbach | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. O'Grady | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter