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2024-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
ELO 41.5% 58.5% -
Bradley-Terry 44.1% 55.9% -
Margin 49.2% 50.8% +0.2 (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 49.2% 50.8% -
KenPom Style 44.6% 55.4% -
Log Adjusted 44.7% 55.3% -

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes +3 (76-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
M. Joiner 36 3-13 2-5 2-2 4 2 2 4 10 1
D. Hagemann 35 6-11 -1 2-3 3 4 3 14 7
T. Ozment 29 5-8 -1 - 8 1 2 2 10 11
J. Tate 27 4-10 -3 - 8 2 1 1 3 8 7
T. Hallock 26 4-7 1-2 - 3 2 1 1 9 7
J. Ayrault 25 7-12 2-6 - 8 1 1 3 1 16 16
A. Kimball 22 2-6 2-3 - 2 2 1 6 3

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
Player #4433403 37 14-34 8-20 4-4 1 5 3 1 6 40 10
G. Marshall 36 1-6 1-6 - 2 1 1 3 1
Player #4398907 32 3-8 -3 - 11 4 1 6 12
H. Stuelke 31 7-11 - 1-4 8 1 3 15 16
M. Davis 30 2-3 -1 4-5 7 2 2 4 8 12
S. Affolter 20 1-4 - 2-2 7 1 1 1 4 8
S. Goodman 6 -1 - - 1 0
K. Feuerbach 5 - - - 0
A. O'Grady 3 - - - 1 1

* = starter