Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.5% | 85.5% | +9.8 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +4 (53-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4592712 * | 39 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Langborg * | 39 | 2-12 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | -7.0 |
| Player #4684208 * | 39 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 18 | -5.3 |
| Nick Martinelli * | 38 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 12 | -12.3 |
| Luke Hunger * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -3.1 |
| Blake Smith | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Blake Preston | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +3.9 |
| Justin Mullins | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.0 |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4432129 * | 38 | 8-21 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Player #4592693 * | 37 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 21 | - |
| A.J. Hoggard * | 32 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | +8.7 |
| Jaden Akins * | 24 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -6 | +1.0 |
| Mady Sissoko * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | +4.0 |
| Tre Holloman | 25 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | +8.2 |
| Jaxon Kohler | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Xavier Booker | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Carson Cooper | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.0 |
| Coen Carr | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
* = starter