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2024-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 57.9% 42.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 38.8% 61.2% - โœ“
Margin 41.0% 59.0% +2.0 โœ“ (21.0 off)
Pythagorean 21.6% 78.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 5.1% 94.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 12.5% 87.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 12.4% 87.6% - โœ“

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +23 (84-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dug McDaniel * 36 7-21 1-6 4-4 4 3 1 0 1 19 5 -18.5
Terrance Williams II * 34 3-7 2-3 5-6 2 2 1 0 5 13 6 -20.6
Tarris Reed Jr. * 33 1-8 0-0 2-4 9 0 2 1 5 4 3 -24.6
Will Tschetter * 28 2-2 1-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 7 6 +4.3
Nimari Burnett * 21 4-7 0-1 0-2 2 0 0 0 2 8 1 -11.0
Tray Jackson 14 0-3 0-2 2-2 2 0 1 1 0 2 3 +8.1
George Washington III 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -4.0
Jace Howard 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 +0.1
Youssef Khayat 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 4 +1.2
Harrison Hochberg 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -0.0
Jackson Selvala 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0
Cooper Smith 3 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 5 4 -0.0
Ian Burns 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -0.0

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bruce Thornton * 32 3-8 1-4 10-10 5 5 1 0 2 17 18 +22.6
Player #4431893 * 28 3-5 2-3 0-0 2 2 2 0 2 8 7 -
Zed Key * 17 3-5 0-0 3-4 3 0 2 2 3 9 8 -0.2
Dale Bonner * 16 4-4 0-0 2-3 2 0 3 0 2 10 9 +4.0
Owen Spencer * 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 +2.0
Roddy Gayle Jr. 28 6-10 0-2 3-4 3 3 2 0 2 15 11 +1.7
Felix Okpara 19 2-2 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 1 0 5 11 -14.2
Devin Royal 17 2-5 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 1 1 6 2 +7.7
Evan Mahaffey 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 4 4 -5.2
Scotty Middleton 13 2-2 2-2 2-2 1 0 1 0 3 8 5 +3.8
Kalen Etzler 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 +0.0
Austin Parks 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +0.0
Bowen Hardman 3 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 +0.0
Colby Baumann 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 +0.0

* = starter