Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.0% | 50.0% | -0.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -7 (80-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Perkins * | 37 | 4-14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | +13.7 |
| Payton Sandfort * | 37 | 7-14 | 4-8 | 5-5 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 19 | +7.5 |
| Josh Dix * | 37 | 9-13 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 15 | +14.4 |
| Ben Krikke * | 30 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 14 | +16.0 |
| Owen Freeman * | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | +16.2 |
| Patrick McCaffery | 20 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -10.9 |
| Ladji Dembele | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -6.9 |
| Brock Harding | 6 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -12.9 |
| Pryce Sandfort | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +7.5 |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4684208 * | 40 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 15 | -7.5 |
| Nick Martinelli * | 40 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | -7.5 |
| Player #4592712 * | 39 | 9-13 | 6-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 23 | - |
| Blake Smith * | 29 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | -4.3 |
| Matthew Nicholson * | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | +1.9 |
| Luke Hunger | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -6.1 |
| Jordan Clayton | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -3.2 |
| Blake Preston | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3.1 |
| Justin Mullins | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
* = starter