Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Wisconsin Badgers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.6% | 36.4% | -3.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wisconsin Badgers -8 (83-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrence Shannon Jr. * | 38 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 8-9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 18 | +2.6 |
| Coleman Hawkins * | 37 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 14 | +9.5 |
| Marcus Domask * | 35 | 12-21 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 21 | +9.6 |
| Quincy Guerrier * | 27 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | +7.4 |
| Ty Rodgers * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Justin Harmon | 23 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | +11.7 |
| Dain Dainja | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | -3.1 |
| Luke Goode | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.0 |
| Niccolo Moretti | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -2.0 |
Wisconsin Badgers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Wahl * | 39 | 9-14 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 16 | -2.4 |
| Max Klesmit * | 38 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | -0.2 |
| Chucky Hepburn * | 37 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | -7.3 |
| AJ Storr * | 29 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | -4.2 |
| Steven Crowl * | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -4.8 |
| John Blackwell | 24 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Connor Essegian | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -3.9 |
| Markus Ilver | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -9.8 |
| Carter Gilmore | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +4.1 |
| Nolan Winter | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3.8 |
| Luke Haertle | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
* = starter