Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.9% | 95.1% | +16.3 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +8 (105-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Hawkins * | 40 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 19 | -5.4 |
| Dawson Garcia * | 38 | 12-23 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 10 | -2.3 |
| Cam Christie * | 36 | 6-12 | 6-9 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 13 | -5.2 |
| Pharrel Payne * | 31 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | -3.4 |
| Mike Mitchell Jr. * | 31 | 6-8 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | -3.5 |
| Braeden Carrington | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Parker Fox | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.2 |
| Joshua Ola-Joseph | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
| Isaiah Ihnen | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +0.1 |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Domask * | 39 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 20 | +7.6 |
| Terrence Shannon Jr. * | 38 | 9-17 | 4-8 | 7-9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 19 | +4.6 |
| Coleman Hawkins * | 31 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 12 | +0.9 |
| Quincy Guerrier * | 25 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +7.3 |
| Ty Rodgers * | 23 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Dain Dainja | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 14 | +5.8 |
| Justin Harmon | 18 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +4.6 |
| Luke Goode | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Niccolo Moretti | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Amani Hansberry | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter