Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio State Buckeyes | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.8% | 75.2% | +6.1 | ✗ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -3 (57-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Thornton * | 37 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | +0.4 |
| Felix Okpara * | 32 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 11 | +4.8 |
| Roddy Gayle Jr. * | 27 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 11 | +3.6 |
| Evan Mahaffey * | 22 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.3 |
| Scotty Middleton * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6.4 |
| Dale Bonner | 20 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | +7.9 |
| Devin Royal | 18 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | +10.6 |
| Zed Key | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -3.8 |
| Taison Chatman | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.9 |
| Bowen Hardman | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Akins * | 34 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +4.7 |
| Player #4432129 * | 33 | 5-16 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | -1 | - |
| A.J. Hoggard * | 30 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +3.5 |
| Player #4592693 * | 28 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Xavier Booker * | 17 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +11.2 |
| Tre Holloman | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -7.7 |
| Mady Sissoko | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -5.8 |
| Jaxon Kohler | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -0.8 |
| Carson Cooper | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.8 |
| Coen Carr | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -4.6 |
* = starter