Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.7% | 85.3% | +9.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +10 (95-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Dix * | 37 | 9-15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 7 | -7.0 |
| Tony Perkins * | 33 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 15 | -9.2 |
| Payton Sandfort * | 32 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | -1.0 |
| Ben Krikke * | 30 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | +0.3 |
| Owen Freeman * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 13 | -6.6 |
| Patrick McCaffery | 21 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -17.0 |
| Ladji Dembele | 7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -0.6 |
| Brock Harding | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.6 |
| Pryce Sandfort | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrence Shannon Jr. * | 34 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | +5.5 |
| Coleman Hawkins * | 30 | 9-11 | 3-5 | 9-11 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 26 | +1.7 |
| Marcus Domask * | 29 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +6.8 |
| Quincy Guerrier * | 19 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | -1.0 |
| Ty Rodgers * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Justin Harmon | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | +22.2 |
| Niccolo Moretti | 17 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +9.9 |
| Dain Dainja | 14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | -4.5 |
| Amani Hansberry | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Luke Goode | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -0.3 |
* = starter