Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.7% | 78.3% | +7.1 | ✗ (14.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -7 (71-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Krikke * | 38 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 24 | +5.9 |
| Payton Sandfort * | 38 | 7-15 | 2-7 | 6-7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 16 | +19.3 |
| Tony Perkins * | 37 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | +8.4 |
| Josh Dix * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | +2.1 |
| Owen Freeman * | 8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +10.0 |
| Patrick McCaffery | 27 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | +6.1 |
| Ladji Dembele | 12 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Pryce Sandfort | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +19.3 |
| Brock Harding | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Even Brauns | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4432129 * | 37 | 6-15 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Player #4592693 * | 35 | 7-13 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| A.J. Hoggard * | 33 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | -4.6 |
| Jaden Akins * | 29 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +3.6 |
| Mady Sissoko * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.0 |
| Tre Holloman | 22 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | +0.8 |
| Jaxon Kohler | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4.2 |
| Carson Cooper | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -6.1 |
| Xavier Booker | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1.0 |
| Coen Carr | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.0 |
* = starter