Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Hoosiers | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.7% | 94.3% | +15.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.3% | 98.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +20 (79-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Galloway * | 34 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Mackenzie Mgbako * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Kel'el Ware * | 29 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Malik Reneau * | 23 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Gabe Cupps * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| CJ Gunn | 20 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Anthony Leal | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Walker | 17 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Payton Sparks | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Smith * | 36 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Zach Edey * | 34 | 7-15 | 1-1 | 11-16 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 30 | - |
| Lance Jones * | 28 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Fletcher Loyer * | 26 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Trey Kaufman-Renn * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Mason Gillis | 18 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Camden Heide | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ethan Morton | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Myles Colvin | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Caleb Furst | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Will Berg | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Brian Waddell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chase Martin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Carson Barrett | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter