Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Ohio State Buckeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.5% | 35.5% | -3.3 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes -12 (75-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Domask * | 35 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 8-8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Terrence Shannon Jr. * | 32 | 7-17 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Ty Rodgers * | 26 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Coleman Hawkins * | 25 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Quincy Guerrier * | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Justin Harmon | 24 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Luke Goode | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Dain Dainja | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Amani Hansberry | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roddy Gayle Jr. * | 38 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Jamison Battle * | 37 | 8-15 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Bruce Thornton * | 31 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Evan Mahaffey * | 31 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Felix Okpara * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Scotty Middleton | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Zed Key | 10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Devin Royal | 7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Dale Bonner | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bowen Hardman | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter