Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.7% | 92.3% | +13.6 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +10 (76-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Mitchell Jr. * | 40 | 5-12 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Dawson Garcia * | 38 | 6-17 | 1-3 | 9-12 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Pharrel Payne * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Joshua Ola-Joseph * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Player #4845363 * | 16 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Braeden Carrington | 26 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Isaiah Ihnen | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Parker Fox | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jack Wilson | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4432129 * | 33 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - |
| A.J. Hoggard * | 32 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Player #4592693 * | 32 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Jaden Akins * | 29 | 5-14 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Mady Sissoko * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Tre Holloman | 22 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Carson Cooper | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Coen Carr | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Xavier Booker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jaxon Kohler | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter