Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.5% | 38.5% | -2.6 | ✓ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.8% | 6.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.4% | 6.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.5% | 6.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines -15 (73-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Domask * | 37 | 5-14 | 0-4 | 5-7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Quincy Guerrier * | 37 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Coleman Hawkins * | 36 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 32 | - |
| Ty Rodgers * | 33 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Luke Goode * | 29 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Justin Harmon | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Niccolo Moretti | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Dain Dainja | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivier Nkamhoua * | 37 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Dug McDaniel * | 35 | 7-18 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Terrance Williams II * | 32 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Tarris Reed Jr. * | 30 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Nimari Burnett * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jaelin Llewellyn | 14 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Will Tschetter | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Youssef Khayat | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jace Howard | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter