Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.4% | 72.6% | +5.3 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +3 (71-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hall * | 36 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| A. Hoggard * | 34 | 6-19 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | - |
| J. Akins * | 32 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| T. Walker * | 29 | 8-17 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 2 | - |
| M. Sissoko * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| T. Holloman | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Cooper | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| C. Carr | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Kohler | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Domask * | 38 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| C. Hawkins * | 37 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| L. Goode * | 36 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Q. Guerrier * | 33 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Ty Rodgers * | 20 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| J. Harmon | 31 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| D. Dainja | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter