Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.0% | 11.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 68.8% | 31.2% | -4.3 | ✗ (18.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +14 (88-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4432129 * | 34 | 10-18 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 14 | - |
| A.J. Hoggard * | 33 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Jaden Akins * | 32 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Player #4592693 * | 25 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -6 | - |
| Mady Sissoko * | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Tre Holloman | 23 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Carson Cooper | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Coen Carr | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Xavier Booker | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jaxon Kohler | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Davis Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4592712 * | 38 | 6-15 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Ty Berry * | 35 | 7-11 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Player #4684208 * | 34 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Ryan Langborg * | 33 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Luke Hunger * | 19 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Nick Martinelli | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Matthew Nicholson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Blake Preston | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Clayton | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter