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2024-03-09

Model Predictions

Model UConn Huskies Providence Friars Spread Result
Elo 91.9% 8.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 84.3% 15.7% - โœ“
Margin 86.1% 13.9% -10.1 โœ“ (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 60.8% 39.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 93.1% 6.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 94.0% 6.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 94.0% 6.0% - โœ“

Actual: Providence Friars -14 (60-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tristen Newton * 37 3-12 2-8 4-4 8 5 0 0 4 12 9 +8.4
Alex Karaban * 33 6-14 4-6 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 16 7 +1.1
Cam Spencer * 32 4-13 1-6 1-2 3 5 1 0 0 10 6 +10.4
Stephon Castle * 29 6-12 2-4 0-0 6 3 4 0 0 14 15 -6.3
Donovan Clingan * 27 5-5 1-1 0-0 7 2 0 2 0 11 17 -0.0
Hassan Diarra 19 1-4 1-1 0-0 2 4 1 0 1 3 5 +11.2
Samson Johnson 12 4-7 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 2 2 8 8 +7.6
Jaylin Stewart 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +5.4
Andrew Hurley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0
Jayden Ross 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.0
Apostolos Roumoglou 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.0
Solomon Ball 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.1
Youssouf Singare 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.0

Providence Friars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Carter * 38 9-19 2-7 4-6 15 4 2 2 2 24 26 -6.6
Davonte Gaines * 38 1-5 1-5 3-4 0 0 1 0 2 6 0 -6.5
Josh Oduro * 31 5-16 1-4 2-2 11 2 0 0 2 13 8 +7.9
Jayden Pierre * 30 3-10 2-5 1-2 3 0 0 1 6 9 -3 +1.1
Corey Floyd Jr. * 28 0-2 0-2 2-2 4 1 0 1 1 2 5 -13.5
Rich Barron 25 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 6 3 -2.1
Rafael Castro 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -12.7
Donovan Santoro 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0

* = starter