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2024-03-06

Model Predictions

Model UConn Huskies Marquette Golden Eagles Spread Result
Elo 88.1% 11.9% -
Bradley-Terry 72.4% 27.6% -
Margin 72.4% 27.6% -5.3 (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 58.4% 41.6% -
Efficiency 87.3% 12.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 91.7% 8.3% -
Log Adjusted 91.8% 8.2% -

Actual: Marquette Golden Eagles -7 (67-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Karaban * 38 8-13 5-9 2-2 5 3 2 1 3 23 18 +7.1
T. Newton * 32 4-9 2-5 0-0 6 2 0 0 2 10 7 -3.7
C. Spencer * 31 6-10 5-7 0-0 8 6 3 0 0 17 24 +12.3
D. Clingan * 28 3-9 0-0 3-6 12 2 2 4 2 9 18 +4.2
S. Castle * 25 2-9 0-2 2-2 3 3 0 1 1 6 3 +3.9
H. Diarra 25 4-8 1-1 0-0 6 2 1 0 2 9 8 +7.7
J. Stewart 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 +6.4
S. Johnson 10 0-2 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -1.5
S. Ball 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0

Marquette Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Mitchell * 39 3-9 0-2 2-3 9 4 2 0 2 8 12 -7.6
K. Jones * 37 7-15 2-4 2-4 3 2 2 0 1 18 9 -3.7
O. Ighodaro * 33 7-17 0-0 2-4 8 2 1 1 1 16 10 +5.2
D. Joplin * 30 4-9 1-4 1-2 5 0 0 1 4 10 3 -0.0
C. Ross * 19 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 2 2 0 0 2 -5.4
B. Gold 22 2-3 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 5 -9.3
T. Norman 16 3-4 1-2 2-3 0 0 2 0 0 9 7 -5.9
Z. Lowery 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 +0.2

* = starter