Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | UConn Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.5% | 93.5% | +14.7 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UConn Huskies +24 (78-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Bamba * | 34 | 5-16 | 0-5 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Eric Dixon * | 32 | 7-19 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Justin Moore * | 31 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Hakim Hart * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Mark Armstrong * | 23 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Brendan Hausen | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jordan Longino | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Tyler Burton | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Lance Ware | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristen Newton * | 37 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 16 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 23 | - |
| Cam Spencer * | 36 | 9-13 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Alex Karaban * | 34 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Stephon Castle * | 31 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Donovan Clingan * | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Hassan Diarra | 16 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Samson Johnson | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Jaylin Stewart | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Apostolos Roumoglou | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Solomon Ball | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jayden Ross | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter