Model Predictions
| Model | Providence Friars | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.6% | 60.4% | +2.3 | ✗ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers -4 (75-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Pierre * | 38 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | +3.7 |
| Player #4433188 * | 37 | 7-20 | 1-6 | 7-9 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 22 | - |
| Rich Barron * | 28 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +1.8 |
| Player #4432068 * | 25 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Davonte Gaines * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +3.7 |
| Corey Floyd Jr. | 28 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +2.4 |
| Rafael Castro | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -0.0 |
| Garwey Dual | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1.9 |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dayvion McKnight * | 39 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 15 | -1.4 |
| Desmond Claude * | 38 | 7-20 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 6 | -1.7 |
| Player #4432070 * | 38 | 6-16 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Gytis Nemeiksa * | 21 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | +2.3 |
| Sasa Ciani * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.1 |
| Abou Ousmane | 27 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 22 | -2.9 |
| Dailyn Swain | 20 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.9 |
| Trey Green | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
| Kachi Nzeh | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
* = starter