Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.1% | 41.9% | -1.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies -6 (72-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. MacMillan | 35 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Jayda McNabb | 33 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Milahnie Perry | 33 | 9-14 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Alexis Cortez | 29 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Madison Smith | 28 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Keelie O'Hollaren | 18 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Jordyn DeVaughn | 13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jo Huntimer | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Marissa Hargrave | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Brown | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Smith | 36 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| A. Verdan | 28 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Cheyenne Stubbs | 27 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 7 | - |
| I. Finley | 27 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Samiana Suguturaga | 26 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| L. Knapp | 24 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| T. Hill-Brown | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Gracie Johnson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Mullings | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Isabella Tanedo | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Wetta | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter