Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Lafayette Leopards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.2% | 65.8% | +3.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Lafayette Leopards +7 (64-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Bales | 34 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | +7.0 |
| E. Johns | 34 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8 | +6.9 |
| Anna Lemaster | 33 | 6-13 | 5-10 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 15 | +12.2 |
| K. Henning | 32 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | +12.1 |
| L. Stack | 28 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | +12.0 |
| M. Lavin | 18 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -4.8 |
| B. Garbee | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | -5.8 |
| L. Nogues | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3.0 |
| A. Rescifina | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
Lafayette Leopards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Antognoli | 39 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -1 | -7.0 |
| M. Andrews | 34 | 7-18 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 19 | -3.0 |
| K. Drummond | 33 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| H. Smith | 33 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | -1.0 |
| K. Donahue | 27 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10 | -0.1 |
| S. Ntaconayigize | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | -10.9 |
| E. Shields | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -7.0 |
| K. Favours | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
* = starter