Model Predictions
| Model | Baylor Bears | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.7% | 16.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 97.5% | 2.5% | -20.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 84.4% | 15.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.7% | 3.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.7% | 3.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs -24 (61-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Littlepage-Buggs | 33 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 20 | - |
| D. Edwards | 33 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | - |
| J. Walker | 28 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| B. Fontleroy | 23 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Y. Felder | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | - |
| S. Andrews | 20 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| A. Blackwell | 18 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Van Gytenbeek | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Fritz | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M. Bartley | 4 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| C. Ferreira | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Jones | 37 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| R. Bradley | 35 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 2 | - |
| T. Young | 35 | 7-16 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| C. Embry | 25 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| TK Pitts | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A. Abdur-Rahim | 21 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| M. Chandler | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Peterson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Perry | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Hall | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter