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2023-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears SMU Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 83.7% 16.3% -
Bradley-Terry 83.5% 16.5% -
Margin 97.5% 2.5% -20.2 (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 84.4% 15.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 96.7% 3.3% -
Log Adjusted 96.7% 3.3% -

Actual: SMU Mustangs -24 (61-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Littlepage-Buggs 33 11-15 0-0 2-4 11 3 0 0 3 24 20 -
D. Edwards 33 5-9 0-0 0-0 11 3 3 3 5 10 16 -
J. Walker 28 2-9 1-4 1-1 5 6 0 0 2 6 6 -
B. Fontleroy 23 7-11 2-4 1-2 6 2 1 0 0 17 15 -
Y. Felder 21 1-3 1-2 4-4 3 6 0 0 3 7 10 -
S. Andrews 20 3-9 3-7 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 9 5 -
A. Blackwell 18 2-9 1-4 0-0 8 1 0 0 0 5 5 -
J. Van Gytenbeek 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 0 1 -
D. Fritz 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 4 -
M. Bartley 4 1-4 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 -
C. Ferreira 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Jones 37 7-11 2-3 1-2 1 3 4 0 1 17 13 -
R. Bradley 35 5-13 0-3 4-6 2 3 1 0 5 14 2 -
T. Young 35 7-16 2-3 0-2 9 2 0 0 1 16 10 -
C. Embry 25 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 6 3 -
TK Pitts 21 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 4 4 -
A. Abdur-Rahim 21 1-9 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 2 -2 -
M. Chandler 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
J. Peterson 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
J. Perry 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Hall 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter