Model Predictions
| Model | Stanislaus State Warriors | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.4% | 96.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.0% | 100.0% | +52.3 | ✓ (26.7 off) |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +79 (107-28). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Stanislaus State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah Jones * | 23 | 2-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -8 | - |
| Cameron Walker * | 21 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Daniel Ameyaw * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jonathan Tchengang * | 18 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Wade III * | 17 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| D. Hewlett | 17 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Imbie Jones | 16 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 | - |
| T. Singleton | 15 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | - |
| Mahda Fallay | 12 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -6 | - |
| William Chavarin | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Boone | 9 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| C. Gueye | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Sahi | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jordan Smith | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Mahaney * | 23 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Joshua Jefferson * | 18 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Mitchell Saxen * | 17 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Augustas Marciulionis * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Alex Ducas * | 14 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Chris Howell | 19 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Luke Barrett | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | - |
| Harry Wessels | 18 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Mason Forbes | 18 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Jordan Ross | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Cade Bennett | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Rory Hawke | 10 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Kevin Gad | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter