Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | UT Arlington Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.3% | 78.7% | +7.2 | ✗ (14.2 off) |
| Efficiency | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UT Arlington Mavericks -7 (66-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaden Gumbs * | 33 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Brandon Love * | 32 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Joshua O'Garro * | 32 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Dylan Dawson * | 30 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Christian Turner * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Mason | 25 | 6-17 | 1-2 | 8-10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 7 | - |
| Dontae Horne | 20 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Chris Nix | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shemar Wilson * | 37 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 10-14 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 26 | - |
| Makaih Williams * | 35 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 10-14 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Brandyn Talbot * | 33 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Dwayne Koroma * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Akili Vining * | 24 | 6-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Player #4432891 | 25 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Kade Douglas | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Aaron Cash | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Fabio Basili | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Darrius Miles | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter