Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.4% | 51.6% | +0.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Efficiency | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans +5 (71-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Dawson * | 32 | 1-10 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Brandon Love * | 31 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Christian Turner * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Tyrel Morgan * | 27 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Kaden Gumbs * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Dontae Horne | 23 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Joshua O'Garro | 20 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Chris Nix | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Elijah Tate | 4 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KK Robinson * | 37 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 14-18 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 25 | - |
| DeAntoni Gordon * | 34 | 8-15 | 2-3 | 1-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Bradley Douglas * | 16 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Ante Beljan * | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Jefferson | 24 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Cougar Downing | 22 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Jaylen Crocker-Johnson | 21 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Creed Williamson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter