Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Fresno State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.4% | 15.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.3% | 8.7% | -12.9 | ✓ (19.1 off) |
| Efficiency | 91.7% | 8.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs -32 (41-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darrion Trammell * | 33 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +8.3 |
| Jaedon Ledee * | 26 | 8-11 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 27 | +8.5 |
| Micah Parrish * | 24 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +8.5 |
| Jay Pal * | 23 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | +8.4 |
| Lamont Butler * | 19 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +8.8 |
| R. Waters | 24 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | -1.2 |
| Elijah Saunders | 13 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Miles Byrd | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Miles Heide | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -0.5 |
| BJ Davis | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.0 |
| Demarshay Johnson Jr. | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Ryan Schwarz | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
| Cam Lawin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
| Cade Alger | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier DuSell * | 38 | 4-13 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | -1 | -8.1 |
| Isaiah Hill * | 35 | 5-14 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | -8.0 |
| Isaiah Pope * | 32 | 2-11 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | -8.5 |
| Leo Colimerio * | 31 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | -8.4 |
| Jalen Weaver * | 28 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -7.5 |
| Chase Courtney | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.5 |
| Isaac Taveras | 9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -0.5 |
| Pierre Geneste Jr. | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0.3 |
| Steven Vasquez Jr. | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.3 |
* = starter