Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.8% | 64.2% | +3.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies +5 (68-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. LeDee * | 33 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 15 | -6.3 |
| D. Trammell * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +3.7 |
| M. Parrish * | 25 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -7.2 |
| L. Butler * | 24 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | -10.3 |
| J. Pal * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | +2.6 |
| R. Waters | 25 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | -5.0 |
| M. Byrd | 20 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +1.6 |
| E. Saunders | 19 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -8.4 |
| M. Heide | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +0.9 |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Osobor * | 39 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 23 | +0.9 |
| D. Brown II * | 39 | 8-13 | 5-9 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 16 | +5.0 |
| I. Martinez * | 35 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +3.6 |
| M. Falslev * | 30 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 2 | +4.7 |
| I. Johnson * | 25 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +4.2 |
| K. Sakho | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +5.2 |
| J. Uduje | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +5.2 |
* = starter