Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.1% | 64.9% | +3.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +11 (81-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. House * | 33 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 7-9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 13 | -4.3 |
| Donovan Dent * | 32 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 2 | -3.7 |
| JT Toppin * | 30 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 18 | -2.3 |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 23 | 1-10 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -7 | - |
| N. Junior Joseph * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -6.8 |
| Mustapha Amzil | 30 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 15 | -2.7 |
| J. Baker | 18 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | -4.8 |
| Tru Washington | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -6.8 |
| I. Mushila | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1.0 |
| S. Forsling | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.6 |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaedon Ledee * | 34 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 8-11 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 20 | +7.1 |
| Lamont Butler * | 28 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | +0.9 |
| Micah Parrish * | 28 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +7.0 |
| Jay Pal * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8 | +8.7 |
| Darrion Trammell * | 21 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | +5.0 |
| R. Waters | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | +2.4 |
| Elijah Saunders | 18 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | -2.0 |
| Miles Byrd | 17 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | +5.0 |
| Miles Heide | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | +7.3 |
* = starter