Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.6% | 59.4% | +2.1 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +11 (81-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. House * | 33 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 7-9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Donovan Dent * | 32 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 2 | - |
| JT Toppin * | 30 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 23 | 1-10 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -7 | - |
| N. Junior Joseph * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Mustapha Amzil | 30 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| J. Baker | 18 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | - |
| Tru Washington | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| I. Mushila | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| S. Forsling | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaedon Ledee * | 34 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 8-11 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Lamont Butler * | 28 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Micah Parrish * | 28 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jay Pal * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Darrion Trammell * | 21 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| R. Waters | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Elijah Saunders | 18 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Miles Byrd | 17 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | - |
| Miles Heide | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
* = starter